Documentation / Computational Predictors / Conservation Scores
PhyloP and GERP Conservation Score Interpretation
PhyloP and GERP measure evolutionary constraint at a genomic position. Higher positive scores indicate fewer observed substitutions than expected. Folklore displays both scores for review but does not use either score directly for PP3 or BP4.
What Conservation Can Tell You
Conservation identifies positions that have changed less often than expected across species. It does not determine whether a particular substitution is damaging. A conserved position can tolerate one amino acid change and reject another.
PhyloP measures deviation from a neutral substitution rate. GERP reports rejected substitutions. The two metrics use different calculations and should be read independently.
PhyloP (100-Way Vertebrate)
PhyloP measures evolutionary conservation across 100 vertebrate species using phylogenetic models. It compares the observed substitution rate at each position against the neutral expectation derived from the phylogenetic tree.
| Score Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| > 2.0 | Conserved. Fewer substitutions than expected -- position is under purifying selection. |
| 0.0 -- 2.0 | Weakly conserved or neutral. Limited evolutionary signal. |
| <= 0.0 | Fast-evolving. More substitutions than expected -- position may be under positive or relaxed selection. |
GERP++ (Genomic Evolutionary Rate Profiling)
GERP++ measures evolutionary constraint by comparing observed substitutions against the expected number at each position across a multi-species alignment. The difference between expected and observed substitutions is the "rejected substitution" score -- higher values indicate that more mutations have been eliminated by natural selection.
| Score Range | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| > 4.0 | Strongly constrained. The position has rejected a large number of substitutions across evolution. |
| 2.0 -- 4.0 | Moderately constrained. Some evidence of purifying selection. |
| <= 0.0 | Unconstrained. No evidence of evolutionary pressure to maintain this position. |
Why Conservation Scores Are Context, Not Evidence
Conservation tells you that a position is important, but it does not tell you whether a specific change at that position is damaging. A highly conserved position could tolerate certain amino acid substitutions (for example, leucine to isoleucine at a hydrophobic core position) while being completely intolerant of others (for example, leucine to proline, which would break the helix). This is why conservation scores are displayed as additional context rather than used as direct ACMG evidence.
Role in Folklore
PhyloP and GERP scores are displayed in the variant detail view as additional clinical context. They do not contribute to PP3 or BP4 ACMG criteria. The formal classification uses BayesDel_noAF (which itself incorporates conservation signals internally) with ClinGen SVI calibrated thresholds. See BayesDel thresholds for details.
PhyloP reference: Pollard KS, et al. Genome Res. 2010;20(1):110-121. PMID: 19858363
GERP reference: Davydov EV, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2010;6(12):e1001025. PMID: 21152010